ESTEBAN MORALES / Obama face the inconsistencies?
ESTEBAN MORALES – one of my grandmothers said that “there is no evil that lasts a hundred years and no body can resist it.”
The policy of the United States to blockade Cuba meets and 52, since it was officially introduced in 1962 and it seems that as long ago began to have serious signs of exhaustion. Especially if we consider that despite the years and American administrations that have been implemented, it has become apparent that this is the most inefficient policy held by an American administration. No policy formulated by the United States against another country, has become so unpopular and has been criticized as the embargo against Cuba. Perhaps, only the American presence in Vietnam exceeds that unpopularity.
A obama has corresponded to live the period when both domestically and internationally has made a statement of opinion, we would say consensus that the blockade must be removed. Therefore, when in his last speech of the 2008 campaign, said he would keep it, and was beginning to what should now end.
Because then I must say that Obama insisted on maintaining a policy, designed for a world that supposedly imagined not change, now the realities over the years, have exceeded all expectations to maintain that policy. Cuba survived, the world began to change, the United States also change and the blockade has become an anachronism of the Cold War.
So Obama, personally paid the first error, when considering a policy pursued for almost 50 years, he still had capacity to deliver, within his administration, the objectives had not been achieved in the 10 administrations that had preceded him.
True, Obama intelligently made a particular contribution to sever two locking policy, handling time differentially against Cuban civil society and against the government; but anyway, this isolation has not worked. Because it is a simple cynical manipulation, through which supposedly Cuban government and people could be separated.
Obama has failed to defeat the Cuban administration, despite having its repressive, financial measures in particular to new levels; but neither has achieved subversively manipulate flexibilities that would make the Cuban civil society its potential ally, receiving visa benefits packages and remittances, as has been expected by the administration today.
Obama undoubtedly benefiting thought that an important part of Cuban society, as it has done, it would be sufficient to limit the Cuban government in its ability to control the internal political situation. Faced with such cynical lock management, you want to tell the Cuban citizen who is not against him and the government that is only against them. Forgetting, by the President, who is not only material goods and benefits as a citizen who has lived as dramatic as that has suffered the vast majority of the Cuban population is conquered political experience. So many, too many citizens enjoy the benefits in Obama, but that does not make them supporters of American policy. So, unlike what may have calculated, Obama has failed to tip the political balance in its favor in Cuba. Having just obtained the acceptance of mercenaries and annexation provided.
Since the President has tried both sides of the lock, invented by his administration, so about to finish the first half of his second term this as the principle driving a policy that not only has not gained traction, but paradoxically increasingly loses;so many more that are currently concerned to reiterate that it is a failed policy.
As if that were not enough, the calls to change policy will also come from those who were once their allies. All in the midst of an international, domestic and hemispheric political scene, far from improving it has continued to complicate the president.
Obama is now facing a global and hemispheric situation, to which the United States has not been faced in the last 100 years. Economic, domestic, military and political failures, they had never been as great as they are today. Which is expressed very clearly in a loss of popularity, both inside and outside, an ignorance of their interests and existence of consensus of their political counterparts, such as the United States had not ever had to face.
In addition, through its aim to increase the subversive aspect of its policy towards Cuba, has pierced his case Allan Gros, a blunder of its intelligence services, which does not yet know how it will come out.
Complications arising for Hemispheric Policy, in which neither the OAS nor the call Summit of the Americas, on its side, the Inter crumbles and where neither the policies generated to serve the rest of their conflicts in the world can exhibit achievements. As if that were not enough, the global and hemispheric situation has been articulated in such a way that the United States faces a balance of political and economic forces at the international level which had never had to deal today.Speaking of this, among others, the following matters:
-Latin America and the Caribbean have begun to behave in such a way that no longer have insurance backyard of American politics.
- China and Russia, which previously faced each other, have begun to form a common front to defend their economic and political interests against the hegemonic intentions of the United States and Europe
- Countries like China, Russia, India, Brazil and South Africa are coordinated BRICS, demanding economic and political space that corresponds to its economic power and until recently controlled United States.
‘The countries of Latin America and the Caribbean are gathering in forms of political and economic integration to jointly defend the space that must be considered in international relations. Doing emerging organizations in the United States fails to occupy space.
- Western Europe, particularly Germany, has begun to look to Russia, China and Latin America.
He is not making few attempts to get the dollar from its historical hegemonic position.
-China has just opened as a world economic power.
Groups-the United States has historically led, as the OAS, the Summit of the Americas, the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund, among others, lose their erstwhile ability. While other organizations are emerging in which the United States is not involved. Process is gradually taking place the same in Latin America, that globally, in Asia and Europe.Producing a process of regrouping of political and economic forces in the United States will be increasingly leaving the core of the new partnerships that have been formed.
The United States, of a world power that had his feet settled everywhere, has begun to stay out of the last groups of countries that are forming and that others are created specifically to counter American hegemony.
Now when using the pretext of the fight against terrorism, the United States is out to conquer the territories of the Middle East, seems to have gotten into a situation to delay a long time to come out or you might never leave.
Clearly, America will cease to be the power with which everyone wanted to mate. It is being left alone. His own former allies are losing you trust and seek, even discreetly, find their space in the new organizations and linked to emerging nations that could never be regarded as allies of the United States.
Generándosele a situation in which, if Obama wishes to submit an achievement in its foreign policy, but paradoxically, Cuba is almost the only conflict in which you are presented with opportunities to exhibit any positive fruit in its current foreign policy. Not because Cuba is today the most important conflict that has United States, but because it is the only one that presented Obama the ability, the opportunity and the favorable consensus to solve.
In particular, Obama is forced to improve its image in the hemisphere is Cuba and who is offering the best opportunity to do so. Being the last of a case in which most Latin American leaders have told Obama that a different relationship with Cuba, which eliminates the blockade, would be a good sign to improve relations in the hemisphere. As Cuba concentrates much of the Obama political capacity to achieve understanding with Latin America and the Caribbean. Opportunity I think Obama should not miss. All of which seems to depend on the attitude that the president takes to the reality of having to face Cuba historically not invited at the next Summit of the Americas in April 2015
Regarding the change of Allan Gros by three Cuban Five, Obama should not take longer the situation. I think the President is smart enough to know that such a change does not represent a danger to American national security; while this is a case for which the President has received much criticism and reprimands, since young Cuban prisoners still represents a stain on American justice system and to the prestige of the nation in general.
Obama has received multiple signals that are indicating the need to change the policy towards Cuba. Never an American president had accumulated so many signs urging him to change the policy toward a country.
The signals are had within his own administration and right-wing sectors of the Cuban community; business men, in United Nations, its allies, and generally from a political environment that has been generated and has formed a consensus that continues to press against the blockade. In what is a clear expression recent editorial in the New York Times. No case of a single article, but the so-called set of a series of powerful groups in American society that may be considering how damaging is that the United States and maintain its current policy against Cuba .It as if they were saying to Obama “… this good and then you’re hurting interests out of reach …”
Realistically, it is possible to say that he had never accumulated sum of positive attitudes such a policy shift towards Cuba before. Internally in the United States and internationally. With regard to Cuba also because it gradually too, is giving signs of strength and moving toward the improvement of its internal situation, which favors the possible change of policy. As there are business sectors, social, scientific, religious, political, observing carefully the opportunities being offered Cuba.
We have always said that the internal situation in Cuba is a crucial variable when considering a potential change in United States policy toward the island. And despite all the efforts and money spent by the administration, this has failed subvert the objectives of the internal situation in the island.
I think Obama is not internal and international conditions to afford to not resolving the long-standing conflict in its historical backyard and has become, as never before, in a claim, which both Cuba and the United States, could objectively out ahead.
Obama should not wait any longer, holds all the cards in your favor and there are many who are calling for action.
Perhaps a positive sign from the administration just gave John Kerry, Secretary of State, when Cuba was flattered by his cooperative attitude towards the phenomenon of the Ebola epidemic.
It is significant that the Secretary of State to issue an opinion as that in the case of Cuba. Is it a friendly gesture of goodwill?Let’s see. I think Cuba should answer the gesture.